Six things to know about the Q1 2026 EV cliff
• Markets do not crash. Supply and demand shift. Both shifted in Q1 2026, but they did not shift by the same amount.
• California EV share fell from 21 percent in 2025 to 13.7 percent in Q1 2026, a 35 percent drop. National EV sales fell 27 percent year over year.
• The cliff was forecast. The Trump administration spent 2025 dismantling the policy stack: California waivers revoked, CAFE penalties zeroed, EV tax credit expired September 30.