February 20, 2009

Computing Challenges of the Static Traffic Assignment Problem: Past, Present and Future

Speaker(s)

Dr. David Boyce

Abstract

Travel forecasting in general, and the traffic assignment problem in particular, have continuously posed computing challenges. In the 1950s, for example, travel forecasting was one of the first civilian applications of the emerging technology of mainframe computers. As computers evolved, larger networks and more complex models were developed, fully utilizing available computing capacities up to the present day.

In recent years, the need to identify the impact of modest local changes on the performance of large scale networks led to an increasing need for higher convergence levels. This need has been addressed by algorithmic changes now being implemented by leading software vendors. The future challenge in static traffic assignment appears to relate to the identification of routes and plausible route flows.

Recent findings from practical solutions for this emerging need for route flow forecasts will conclude the seminar.

Biographical Sketch

Dr. David Boyce, P.E., is Adjunct Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, and Professor Emeritus of Transportation and Regional Science in the Department of Civil and Materials Engineering at the University of Illinois at Chicago.

During 40 years of research and teaching, Professor Boyce addressed key methodological issues related to metropolitan transportation and land use planning. His early monograph, Metropolitan Plan Making, critically examined the experience with the land use and travel forecasting models during the 1960s. Recognizing that these methods lacked an adequate scientific basis, he has since devoted himself to the formulation and solution of urban travel and land use forecasting models as constrained optimization problems and related constructs, which synthesize elements of network analysis and modeling, stochastic discrete choice theory and entropy-based methods.

Through this research, he concluded that the conventional travel forecasting paradigm, widely known as the four-step travel forecasting procedure, may be seen to be counter-productive. By focusing research on individual elements of daily travel decisions, mainly represented as having fixed travel times and costs, the conventional point of view obscures the overall equilibria and interdependence of travel choices. To offer an alternative perspective, Professor Boyce rigorously formulated, implemented, estimated and validated large-scale, integrated models of travel behavior. This ongoing research offers an alternative both to the conventional viewpoint, and to newer initiatives, which also lack a rigorous scientific foundation. He also extended this integrated approach to the study of regional economies, interregional commodity flows and freight transportation systems. More recently, he has been studying the history of these models.

In addition to this primary research theme, from 1986-1996, Professor Boyce was an early innovator of in-vehicle dynamic route guidance systems, a principal element of the emerging field of Intelligent Transportation Systems. This research culminated in his leading a multi-university team that performed development and evaluation tasks for the ADVANCE Project, a large-scale field test of a prototype route guidance system, in conjunction with Motorola, Inc., and federal and state transportation departments. In this role he also conducted theoretical and modeling studies of the performance of route guidance systems on urban road networks.

Following the completion of his Ph.D. in the field of regional science in 1965, in various ways Professor Boyce provided institutional leadership and support to the Regional Science Association International (RSAI) in North America, Europe and Asia. For twenty years, he organized the North American Meetings of this academic society. He served as co-editor of a principal journal in the field of urban and regional research and as associate editor of one of the archival journals in the transportation research field. In addition, he has served on many editorial boards in regional science and transportation.

In recognition of his research and service contributions to the field of Regional Science, in 2000 he was awarded the Founder’s Medal of the RSAI; in 2002, he was elected a Fellow of the RSAI. In 2000, he received the UIC Inventor of the Year and the UIC College of Engineering Faculty Research Award for his contributions to transportation modeling and algorithms. He also received the University of Illinois Alumni Association’s UIC Flame Award for Teaching Excellence in 2001. In 2003, Professor Boyce received the Robert Herman Lifetime Achievement Award of the Transportation Science and Logistics Section of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). He also received the INFORMS Fellows Award in 2003.

During his career, David Boyce served as a tenured faculty member at the University of Pennsylvania (1966-77), the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (1977-88), and the University of Illinois at Chicago (1988-2003). From 1988-1996, he served as Director of the Urban Transportation Center at the last university. Professor Boyce received his B.S. in civil engineering from Northwestern University in 1961, and his Ph.D. in regional science from the University of Pennsylvania in 1965. He also received his Master of City Planning degree from Penn. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in the State of Ohio, a Life Member of ASCE and an Emeritus Member of the Transportation Networks Committee of the Transportation Research Board. To date, he has published nearly 190 journal articles, books, book chapters and reports.